Are Gold and Silver Safe Haven Investments for the U.S./China Trade War?

Precious Metals Should Rise on U.S./China Trade War

Precious metals like gold and silver, which are often viewed as a safe haven investment, have been on a rollercoaster over the last year. Most recently, silver and gold prices trended significantly higher during the market wide sell-off in the fourth quarter of 2018. While precious metals have trended lower since February, silver and gold prices are still holding up well.

The big question is, will investors flock to precious metal prices as a safe haven investment and send prices higher as fears of a full-blown trade war between the U.S. and China, the world’s two largest economies heats up?

What is a “safe haven investment?” When the markets are uncertain, investors turn to investment they believe will do well, either by retaining or increasing in value. Investors typically seek out safe haven investments to limit their losses should the markets sell off. Examples of safe haven investments include gold and silver, bonds, defensive stocks, and cash.

Not all market turbulence is the same though. What might be a good safe haven investment in one downturn may not be a good investment in another. That’s why it’s important to evaluate the current market sentiment and underlying issues.

In the event of a trade war between the U.S. and China, gold and silver are expected to be an attractive safe haven investment. Despite assertions from Washington that the trade war will not impact American businesses and consumers, if it drags on, the trade war cannot help but weaken the U.S. economy, which in turn means a lower U.S. dollar. Should this happen, it’s quite possible that the Federal Reserve could cut its key lending rate. All of which is bullish for silver and gold prices.

A full-blown trade war between the two countries is not a certainty. President Trump could postpone his decision to hike tariffs on $200 billion-worth of goods from China to 25% from 10%. This would have positive short-term ramifications, but it also means ongoing uncertainty about what the President is going to do, which is never a given.

Another, Potentially More Damaging U.S. Trade War Is Brewing

There is more than just one trade war percolating right now though. And some analysts believe the biggest threat to the global economy is a trade war between the U.S. and Eurozone. A retaliation from the Eurozone could be more damaging to the U.S. economy than a trade war with China. China is the second biggest economy, but the Eurozone is the world’s biggest economic block.

Concerns about a trade war with the Eurozone may have been behind the selloff in the first week of May, which hit American companies that rely heavily on sales outside of the U.S. the most.

Like a trade war with China, a trade war with Europe could hurt the U.S. economy and U.S. dollar, forcing the U.S. central bank to cut its lending rate. It’s not an unlikely scenario. Wall Street seems to believe it’s going to happen. Right now, the markets are pricing in a 70% chance that the Federal Reserve will actually cut interest rates by the end of the year.

Learn-To-Trade.com, Canada’s Leader in Stock Market Trading Courses

A trade war on two fronts would be disastrous for the U.S. economy. Even still, a trade war with either China or Europe could derail the global economy. Should this happen, some equities and asset classes will do better than others. The trading professionals at Learn-To-Trade.com can teach you which ones will, and which ones won’t.

As Canada’s oldest and leading provider of stock market trading courses, the trading experts at Learn-To-Trade.com can teach investors of every skill level how to trade more confidently and profit more consistently.

At Learn-To-Trade.com, we understand that investors have different needs, that’s why we provide a unique, Lifetime Membership that allows you to re-attend any part of the program as often as you’d like.

To learn more about Learn-To-Trade.com’s stock market trading course, contact us at 416-510-5560 or by e-mail at info@learn-to-trade.com.

Photo Credit: iStock.com/Olivier Le Moal

The following two tabs change content below.
George Karpouzis is the co-founder of Learn-to-Trade and has been personally providing education and mentoring to over 3000 members since 1999. George has been trading in the stocks, options, futures and forex markets using technical analysis since 1986. With the help of advancements in trading technology the Learn To Trade program is now accessible worldwide. His background and passion for teaching brings an invaluable asset to our members. George is constantly striving to improve the program content and develop new strategic relationships for the benefit of the members. Add me to your G+

Testimonial 1

Don’t hesitate jump into it right now. You will be glad you did!

Susan C

Learn To Trade
4.0
2014-08-19T04:45:40-04:00

Susan C

Don’t hesitate jump into it right now. You will be glad you did!

Testimonials 2

The ongoing support has been the reason for my success

Patrick L

Learn To Trade
4.0
2014-08-19T04:46:33-04:00

Patrick L

The ongoing support has been the reason for my success

Testimonial 3

I wanted to let you know that I had taken your course in the fall of 2013. I took your advice and used demo accounts for the last quarter of 2013. I switched to real money trading account in the Near Year, when I finally felt comfortable. Following the lessons taught to me by you (don’t jump on a moving train, peaks and valleys, EMA..etc), I wanted to let you know that I have been successful beyond my own expectations. Thank you very much – taking the Learn-to-Trade course was, by far, the best decision I made in my business career.

Steven R

Learn To Trade
4.0
2014-08-20T02:56:18-04:00

Steven R

I wanted to let you know that I had taken your course in the fall of 2013. I took your advice and used demo accounts for the last quarter of 2013. I switched to real money trading account in the Near Year, when I finally felt comfortable. Following the lessons taught to me by you (don’t jump on a moving train, peaks and valleys, EMA..etc), I wanted to let you know that I have been successful beyond my own expectations. Thank you very much – taking the Learn-to-Trade course was, by far, the best decision I made in my business career.

Joseph L

The past options and forex tutorials taught by George were very helpful. I find these tutorials invaluable for a busy person like myself. I was able to keep myself up to date and on track ready to continue the learning process. Thanks for all the help and keep up the great work.

Joseph L

Learn To Trade
4.0
2014-08-20T10:36:37-04:00

Joseph L

The past options and forex tutorials taught by George were very helpful. I find these tutorials invaluable for a busy person like myself. I was able to keep myself up to date and on track ready to continue the learning process. Thanks for all the help and keep up the great work.

Harley S

The course is amazing. Where were you 30 years ago?

Harley S

Learn To Trade
5.0
2014-08-20T10:37:39-04:00

Harley S

The course is amazing. Where were you 30 years ago?

Partick M

I learned the basics I needed to trade successfully.

Partick M

Learn To Trade
4.0
2014-08-20T10:38:34-04:00

Partick M

I learned the basics I needed to trade successfully.

Iouri G

I like making money. I’m very happy, so far so good

Iouri G

Learn To Trade
4.0
2014-08-20T10:39:27-04:00

Iouri G

I like making money. I’m very happy, so far so good

Akos B

I learned things it would have taken me years to figure out

Akos B

Learn To Trade
5.0
2014-08-20T10:40:05-04:00

Akos B

I learned things it would have taken me years to figure out

Robert B

There is always someone ready to answer my questions.

Robert B

Learn To Trade
4.0
2014-08-20T10:40:59-04:00

Robert B

There is always someone ready to answer my questions.

Uldus V

I was impressed with the course’s professionalism and enthusiasm.

Uldus V

Learn To Trade
5.0
2014-08-20T10:41:40-04:00

Uldus V

I was impressed with the course’s professionalism and enthusiasm.

Dean K

I wish I knew about trading as a business years ago!

Dean K

Learn To Trade
4.0
2014-08-20T10:42:24-04:00

Dean K

I wish I knew about trading as a business years ago!

Peter P

Learn to Trade provided me with strategy, self-confidence and discipline

Peter P

Learn To Trade
4.0
2014-08-20T10:42:57-04:00

Peter P

Learn to Trade provided me with strategy, self-confidence and discipline

Shelley P

I took your course in 2008 and loved it. Since then I have been using what I learned at Learn-to-Trade to nicely supplement my pension income. Wanting a carefree type of trading, I have for the most part just sold options and made a monthly income which is a nice addition to my pension. I know I never would have made this kind of trading income without Learn-to-Trade. Thank you!

Shelley P

Learn To Trade
5.0
2014-08-20T10:34:39-04:00

Shelley P

I took your course in 2008 and loved it. Since then I have been using what I learned at Learn-to-Trade to nicely supplement my pension income. Wanting a carefree type of trading, I have for the most part just sold options and made a monthly income which is a nice addition to my pension. I know I never would have made this kind of trading income without Learn-to-Trade. Thank you!

Amir

Hi George,

I just wanted to thank you again for the amazing work on the tutorials especially Options trading.   Prior to joining, I had underestimated the quality of the trainings but they certainly far exceeded my expectations. Only I wish I’d found you 5-10 years ago!

Amir

Learn To Trade
5.0
2016-10-07T08:56:52-04:00

Amir

Hi George, I just wanted to thank you again for the amazing work on the tutorials especially Options trading.   Prior to joining, I had underestimated the quality of the trainings but they certainly far exceeded my expectations. Only I wish I’d found you 5-10 years ago!

Linda S

It is so fun! It is like playing Chess for me. Readjusting my position/move as market reacts. He really enjoying it now (he said it is like going to candy store for him as there are so many options to pick for option strategy). He thinks he can make 100% return. We both really appreciate your program and your teaching! We would not able to trade in less than 2mths if it wasn't for your program!

Linda S

Learn To Trade
5.0
2019-09-04T14:23:05-04:00

Linda S

It is so fun! It is like playing Chess for me. Readjusting my position/move as market reacts. He really enjoying it now (he said it is like going to candy store for him as there are so many options to pick for option strategy). He thinks he can make 100% return. We both really appreciate your program and your teaching! We would not able to trade in less than 2mths if it wasn't for your program!
4.4
15